Levante vs Mallorca: home form tips a crucial relegation battle

Levante and Mallorca meet level on 39 points, with Levante 18th and Mallorca 17th in the standings after 36 matches. That makes Sunday a direct relegation battle, not just another late-season fixture. The hosts arrive with the better momentum and the cleaner home record, which is why they look the stronger side on paper.

Why Levante have the edge at home

Levante have won each of their last four home games at the Ciutat de Valencia. They have also come from behind to win their last two matches by the same 3-2 scoreline against Osasuna and Celta Vigo, and that matters because it shows a team finding ways to stay alive when the game turns against them.

The head-to-head record at this ground is just as useful for Levante. They have won each of their last four home meetings with Mallorca, including a 2-0 success in January 2022. Mallorca have not won away at the Ciutat de Valencia since October 2006, which is a long time to be carrying an away problem into the same stadium.

Luis Castro's side have also taken 10 points from their last five league matches, compared with five from Mallorca's last five. Mallorca's away record is the league's second-worst, with just nine points from 18 trips away from Son Moix. Omar Mascarell and Mallorca need a lift fast, but the numbers point to Levante carrying the sharper edge into this one.

Roger Brugue is pushing for a starting spot after coming off the bench to score the winner at Balaidos on Tuesday. That gives Levante another option if they need a second-half change again.

Mallorca's problem is not hard to see

There is a slight contradiction in the source material on Mallorca's exact league position, with the match preview text calling them 18th while the standings place them 17th on 39 points. The broader picture does not change. Mallorca are still level with Levante, still under pressure, and still carrying the league's second-worst away record.

That away form is the biggest reason this feels like Levante's game to lose. Mallorca have not backed up their home points nearly well enough on the road, and the Ciutat de Valencia has been a bad venue for them for years. If Levante keep the tempo high and lean on their recent comeback habit, they should be in a strong position to take another step away from trouble.