Liverpool finish the season with Brentford in front of them and Aston Villa behind them in the table, but the final day may matter for more than Liverpool's own place in the top four. If the right European dominoes fall, Liverpool beating Brentford could still help Brentford reach a Champions League route they do not currently occupy. The path only exists because Aston Villa are also in the mix.

How the table shapes the scenario

Liverpool are fourth on 58 points after 35 matches, with a goal difference of +12. Villa are fifth on 58 points after 35 matches, but their goal difference is +4. Brentford sit seventh on 51 points after 35 matches, outside the sixth-place slot that would be needed for the knock-on scenario.

Those standings matter because Liverpool's remaining fixtures are part of the chain. They host Chelsea on May 9, travel to Villa on May 17, and finish at home to Brentford on May 24. That final game is the awkward one for anyone trying to keep the permutations tidy, since a Liverpool result there could still feed into Brentford's route if the wider set of results breaks the right way.

Why the European wrinkle matters

The European part is what makes this unusual. The Europa League final is scheduled for Wednesday, May 20, before the final Premier League round on May 24, so there is time for the league picture and the continental picture to overlap.

The brief's scenario depends on Villa winning the Europa League and also finishing in a league qualifying spot. If that happens, the extra Champions League berth can pass down the line, which is why sixth place becomes important for Brentford. It is a strange setup, but it is a real one, and it leaves Brentford close enough on 51 points to stay relevant.

Liverpool still need to protect their own position first. Their 58 points keep them level with Villa, and the +12 goal difference gives them the edge for now. But the consequences of their final three league matches stretch beyond their own table battle, and Brentford are the club most likely to benefit from the oddest version of that chain.

Written by Jack Mercer with AI-assisted research, cross-checked against 1 outlet. How we work →