Tottenham go into the final stretch 17th on 37 points, with West Ham 18th on 36. Opta still give Spurs a 19.54 per cent relegation chance and West Ham an 80.46 per cent chance, but the more immediate issue is the calendar. Tottenham's next league match is away to Chelsea on 2026-05-19. West Ham go to Newcastle on 2026-05-17.
Why Tottenham's trip looks worse
Jamie Carragher was blunt about the comparison. "I do think Tottenham have got the more difficult game. Newcastle away won't be easy. But Chelsea away? We know the rivalry. Chelsea will be absolutely desperate to send Tottenham down," he said.
That view has a solid base. Tottenham have won only once in 33 Premier League visits to Stamford Bridge, and that lone win came in April 2018. West Ham, by contrast, have won 2 of their last 4 games at St James' Park, including last season's 2-0 victory.
Spurs' wider home form does not help the picture either. They have not won at the Tottenham Hotspur Stadium in 10 games, their longest winless home run since 1994.
West Ham's route is not easy, and Newcastle away is still a difficult assignment. But the fixture list gives Tottenham the harsher ask, and that is the side of the survival race worth trusting more than the table alone.
Written by Jack Mercer with AI-assisted research, cross-checked against 5 outlets. How we work →
