Aston Villa go into the Super Cup with the same familiar sense of flux around the squad, but the case against them is not as tidy as the fixture on paper suggests. They have been fined €22.5m by UEFA for breaching squad cost control rules, with two-thirds of the penalty suspended. Morgan Rogers has also been sold to Chelsea for a record £117m fee for a British player. Even with that churn, Aston Villa have still scored 13 goals across their last five games.

Emery's team still have attacking bite

The form line is decent too. Aston Villa have won four of their last five matches, and the attack has kept producing while the squad has been reshaped around it. Youri Tielemans, John McGinn and the rest of the midfield have had to carry that continuity, because this is not a settled side. It is a side that keeps changing and still keeps creating.

The best reason for Unai Emery to feel hopeful is what happened the last time these teams met at Villa Park. Aston Villa beat Paris Saint Germain 3-2 in the Champions League, even though they were eliminated on aggregate. That result did not alter the tie, but it did show that PSG can be dragged into a game Villa like.

Villa also have a European habit worth taking seriously. They went 7 wins, 0 draws and 1 loss in the Europa League, and Emery has the sort of continental experience that matters in a one-off game like this. The fine, the sale and the squad churn still leave questions about the club's direction, but the football case is clearer: Villa have enough recent output to trouble PSG again.

PSG's recent form gives Villa a route in

Paris Saint Germain are still the more decorated side and they remain the reigning champions, but their recent league form has not been clean. Their last five matches have included losses at Paris FC and draws against Bayern München and Lorient. They have scored six and conceded five in that run, which leaves room for Villa to keep the game uncomfortable.

That is the opening Emery will keep targeting. Villa do not need to dominate possession or outclass PSG for long spells, they need to keep their attacking patterns intact and avoid being swallowed by the occasion. The recent numbers, the last meeting and the European record all point in the same direction, which is why this feels more like a live contest than a ceremonial appearance. The only certainty is that Villa have already shown they can make PSG work for every yard at Villa Park and they will try to do it again on Wednesday.

Written by Jack Mercer with AI-assisted research, cross-checked against 1 outlet. How we work →